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Old 05-15-2008, 04:47 PM
ProfAngercranksuptheZamphir8440 ProfAngercranksuptheZamphir8440 is offline
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Is the Obama appalachia strategy the right one?

I think it's amuzing, this whole "they will remember" train of thought that seems to be prevailing in these answers, as well as the Michigan and Florida questions. At the same time there is a sentiment that Obama can't capture Clinton's base. Therefore, weren't those votes were lost anyways? Honestly, beyond a small percentage of die hards who lose their candidate, and a small percentage of apathetics who were shaken by the same, this is irrelevant. The election will be very polarizing and I feel we will see a very good turn-out with people following their feelings on the issues, on which there will be great difference.This is not the first time that a candidate has skipped a state. I didn't hear anyone clamouring that Clinton wasn't going to be able to get back South Carolina, for instance, at least not until the Bill Clinton soundbites showed up. Obama showed up, he just didn't get into chasing the win. Plus, I really think it is time to accept the fact that this nomination is wrapped up. Give up the ghost. The one thing that the Clinton camp had to bank on was the Super Delegates, and Clinton has lost even the lead in that. Even if they come to an agreement on FL and MI it won't help her, at least no agreement that would be signed off on by both campaigns.So, with that in mind, I agree with your entire premise. He needs to get geared up for the general. He has a good few months to remind all democrats who may be upset that Clinton is not the nominee why this election is important, and why we just cannot have McCain as our president. I also am seeing a trend of McCain running away from what makes McCain scary (well, in an electable sense). This whole "new brand of Republican" thing McCain was supposed to represent is being exposed and comprimised into looking a lot like the Republicans we've been living with. I think that people aren't thinking clearly with this whole concept of base capturing (maybe with the exception of the youth vote but I think either way they have become invested and they hate the war and will come out). I think that especially with the polarization of a lot of the forefront issues in this coming election, not to mention the judge sets that I hope are mentioned frequently in the campaign process, democrats will come back and people will make it to the polls for their various philosophies.Basically, I see no problem with the strategy.
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